A Nobel Prize winning physicist says Elon Musk and Bill Gates are right about the future, with far more free time but fewer traditional jobs

On a gray Tuesday morning in a quiet café in Geneva, an elderly man in a worn blazer sketches the future. Gerard ’t Hooft, Nobel Prize-winning physicist, calmly explains to a small group of students that figures like Elon Musk and Bill Gates may be right: machines are set to do so much that humans will work far less, and the traditional concept of a job will begin to crumble. Outside, office workers rush by with coffees in hand and phones pressed to ears. Inside, ’t Hooft uses a napkin to illustrate how technological revolutions rarely stop where we expect. Even the barista pauses between orders to watch and listen.

The Peculiar Promise of Less Work

Unlike Silicon Valley entrepreneurs, Gerard ’t Hooft isn’t selling tech—he’s spent his life decoding the universe. Yet when he speaks about AI and automation, he lands on the same horizon as Musk and Gates: a society where many current jobs vanish, and our total free time expands dramatically. He delivers this vision without drama, as though forecasting weather. For him, it’s not science fiction; it’s a historical correction. Human labor has always been temporary—what’s new is how quickly it’s disappearing.

Consider the data. A 2023 Goldman Sachs report suggested that AI could automate the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs worldwide. Microsoft and OpenAI executives casually discuss “copilots” that write emails, code software, summarize meetings, and generate marketing plans. In Germany and China, robots already run overnight factory shifts. AI tools handle initial customer inquiries in call centers from Manila to Mexico City. Japanese hotels tested robotic receptionists and quietly retained some, despite early hiccups.

On the surface, this boosts productivity and cuts costs. Beneath, it signals something more profound: a decreasing need for human labor. For ’t Hooft, this isn’t a moral dilemma—it’s mechanical. When machines perform tasks more cheaply, safely, and reliably than humans, markets won’t preserve jobs out of sympathy—they’ll replace them. The change starts slowly, then accelerates.

This pattern isn’t new. Agriculture, industry, services—each wave of technology eliminated jobs and created new ones. The difference now is speed and scope. AI doesn’t just replace muscles; it encroaches on thinking, organizing, and decision-making. Simply put: few people now believe their job is entirely safe.

Redefining Life When Jobs Lose Centrality

If Musk, Gates, and ’t Hooft are correct, clinging to the old model—one long-term job defining your identity—will be like holding onto a landline in a 5G era. One practical step becomes vital: design your life as if your job were temporary, but your skills and curiosity were permanent. This doesn’t mean quitting tomorrow; it means dedicating a few hours each week to experimentation—learning a new tool, launching a small project, or testing a side gig. You prepare not for a single employer but for a new rhythm of life.

Hearing “fewer traditional jobs” often triggers visions of chaos, yet ’t Hooft presents a subtler truth: more free time than we know how to handle. Many of us stumble here—we dream of open weekends, then panic when they arrive. A free day can feel empty, not liberating, leading to aimless scrolling and vague anxiety. The same trap awaits in a low-work future. More time is only a gift if you plan—even minimally—how to use it.

The cultural shift matters as much as the economic one. Musk discusses universal basic income; Gates envisions “time dividends” from automation. ’t Hooft frames the question simply, almost childlike: “What do you do with your days when you no longer have to sell most of your hours to survive?”

Three Levers for a Low-Work Future

  • Learn skills AI can’t replicate: empathy, deep craft, original creativity.
  • Create diversified income streams: small, multiple projects rather than one large salary.
  • Reframe free time: see it as a space to cultivate, not a void to fear.

From Fear to Experimentation

The convergence of views between a Nobel physicist, a software executive, and a space entrepreneur reveals inevitability more than optimism. AI will improve, robots will become cheaper, and routine work will increasingly vanish. The real question for individuals is not “Will AI take jobs?” but “When my work changes, who do I become?” No policy or CEO can fully answer that. The journey begins quietly, in moments when we accept that the next two decades will not mirror the last two.

Key Takeaways for Readers

Key Point Detail Value for the Reader
Jobs will shrink, free time will grow Automation and AI reduce demand for traditional roles while boosting productivity Helps anticipate lifestyle changes instead of being blindsided
Identity must detach from job titles Future stability depends on skills, projects, and networks rather than a single employer Encourages investment in what cannot be automated
Experimentation beats prediction Small, regular tests of skills or side projects prepare for uncertain paths Gives actionable steps instead of abstract fear
Share this news:
🪙 Latest News
Join Group